Olympic Varna vs Fratria II: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Olympic Varna the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Fratria II. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,327 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympic Varna vs Fratria II?
Olympic Varna starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,365 vs 1,247).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Olympic Varna vs Fratria II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Olympic Varna
Not enough data to predict the Olympic Varna lineup.
Fratria II
Not enough data to predict the Fratria II lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 03:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympic Varna have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Fratria II have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(home) | 1-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Volov Shumen(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Riltzi(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Ludogorets III(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Septemvri Dragoevo(away) | 1-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dorostol(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Olympic Varna win, 1 draw, 0 Fratria II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Fratria II 1-3 Olympic Varna | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Olympic Varna 3-3 Fratria II | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Fratria II vs Olympic Varna on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olympic Varna score 1.8 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Fratria II score 0.9 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympic Varna | 1.8 | 2.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Fratria II | 0.9 | 3.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympic Varna sit 12th in Third League - Northeast (12 points from 12 matches) and Fratria II sit 16th (9 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Olympic Varna | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 12 |
| 16 | Fratria II | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 9 |
A question about Olympic Varna vs Fratria II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympic Varna vs Fratria II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Olympic Varna the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Fratria II.
- Where and when is Olympic Varna vs Fratria II played?
- Olympic Varna vs Fratria II is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.