Botev Novi Pazar vs Dorostol: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Botev, Novi pazar
The Footlab model makes Botev Novi Pazar the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Dorostol. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Botev Novi Pazar vs Dorostol?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Botev Novi Pazar (1,286) and Dorostol (1,286).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Novi Pazar have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Dorostol have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fratria II(away) | 6-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Cherno more II(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Chernomorets Balchik(home) | 0-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Fratria II(away) | 2-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Riltzi(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(home) | 0-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Svetkavitsa Targovishte(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Olympic Varna(away) | 2-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 9, 2026 | Ludogorets III(home) | 0-9 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Botev Novi Pazar win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Dorostol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Dorostol 0-2 Botev Novi Pazar | Third League - Northeast |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Botev Novi Pazar 0-0 Dorostol | Third League - Northeast |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Botev Novi Pazar 1-1 Dorostol | Third League - Northeast |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Dorostol 1-0 Botev Novi Pazar | Third League - Northeast |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Dorostol 1-0 Botev Novi Pazar | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Botev Novi Pazar 1-0 Dorostol | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Dorostol vs Botev Novi Pazar on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Botev Novi Pazar score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Dorostol score 0.7 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Novi Pazar | 1.7 | 2.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Dorostol | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botev Novi Pazar sit 2nd in Third League - Northeast (3 points from 1 matches) and Dorostol sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Botev Novi Pazar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Dorostol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Botev Novi Pazar vs Dorostol?
- The Footlab model makes Botev Novi Pazar the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Dorostol.
- Where and when is Botev Novi Pazar vs Dorostol played?
- Botev Novi Pazar vs Dorostol is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Botev, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.