Riltzi vs Septemvri Tervel: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion kv. Riltsi, Dobrich
The Footlab model makes Septemvri Tervel the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Riltzi. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Riltzi vs Septemvri Tervel?
Septemvri Tervel is a heavy favourite: 1,721 Elo points against 1,294, a 427-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Riltzi have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Septemvri Tervel have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Devnya 2005(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(home) | 2-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Volov Shumen(away) | 0-9 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Aksakovo(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Volov Shumen(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Spartak Varna II(home) | 4-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 20, 2026 | Ludogorets III(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 17, 2026 | Cherno more II(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Chernomorets Balchik(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Riltzi win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Septemvri Tervel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel 5-0 Riltzi | Third League - Northeast |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Riltzi 0-1 Septemvri Tervel | Third League - Northeast |
| May 10, 2025 | Septemvri Tervel 1-0 Riltzi | Third League - Northeast |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Riltzi 1-1 Septemvri Tervel | Third League - Northeast |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Riltzi 0-0 Septemvri Tervel | Third League - Northeast |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Septemvri Tervel 2-0 Riltzi | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Septemvri Tervel vs Riltzi on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Riltzi score 1.0 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Tervel score 2.4 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riltzi | 1.0 | 3.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Septemvri Tervel | 2.4 | 0.5 | 10 | 2/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Riltzi sit 13th in Third League - Northeast (0 points from 1 matches) and Septemvri Tervel sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Septemvri Tervel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Riltzi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Riltzi vs Septemvri Tervel?
- The Footlab model makes Septemvri Tervel the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Riltzi.
- Where and when is Riltzi vs Septemvri Tervel played?
- Riltzi vs Septemvri Tervel is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion kv. Riltsi, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.