Chernomorets Balchik vs Ludogorets III: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Balchik
The Footlab AI model makes Chernomorets Balchik the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Ludogorets III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chernomorets Balchik wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,672 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chernomorets Balchik vs Ludogorets III?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Chernomorets Balchik (1,751) and Ludogorets III (1,761).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chernomorets Balchik vs Ludogorets III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chernomorets Balchik
4-3-3- AAdjeil Neves
- AA. Nakov
- CCassiano Bouzon
- VVladislav Danchev Georgiev
- NN. Fonkeu
- SS. Mitev
- YY. Radev
- NN. Yankov
- II. Minchev
- PP. Ivanov
- GG. Grigorov
Ludogorets III
Not enough data to predict the Ludogorets III lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 07:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chernomorets Balchik have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Ludogorets III have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Dorostol(home) | 7-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Devnya 2005(away) | 4-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Riltzi(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Fratria II(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Dorostol(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Devnya 2005(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chernomorets Balchik wins, 2 draws, 0 Ludogorets III wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Ludogorets III 1-1 Chernomorets Balchik | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 3, 2025 | Chernomorets Balchik 1-0 Ludogorets III | Third League - Northeast |
| May 3, 2025 | Chernomorets Balchik 1-0 Ludogorets III | Third League - Northeast |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Ludogorets III 1-1 Chernomorets Balchik | Third League - Northeast |
| May 12, 2023 | Ludogorets III 1-3 Chernomorets Balchik | Third League - Northeast |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Chernomorets Balchik 3-0 Ludogorets III | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Ludogorets III vs Chernomorets Balchik on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chernomorets Balchik score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets III score 2.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chernomorets Balchik | 2.5 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Ludogorets III | 2.3 | 0.5 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chernomorets Balchik sit 3rd in Third League - Northeast (29 points from 12 matches) and Ludogorets III sit 1st (34 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 34 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 29 |
A question about Chernomorets Balchik vs Ludogorets III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chernomorets Balchik vs Ludogorets III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chernomorets Balchik the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Ludogorets III.
- Where and when is Chernomorets Balchik vs Ludogorets III played?
- Chernomorets Balchik vs Ludogorets III is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.