Aktobe Jas vs Astana II: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Munayşı, Aktobe
The Footlab model makes Astana II the favourite at 43%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for Aktobe Jas. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aktobe Jas vs Astana II?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Aktobe Jas (1,148) and Astana II (1,198).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aktobe Jas have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Astana II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Yelimay Semey 2(away) | 5-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Shakhter Karagandy(home) | 1-6 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Ekibastuz(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Kaspij Aktau 2(away) | 1-6 | 1. Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Sport Academy Kairat(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Shakhter Karagandy(away) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Tobol 2(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Turan Turkistan(away) | 1-5 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Arys(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Akademiya Ontustik(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Aktobe Jas win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Astana II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Astana II 2-2 Aktobe Jas | 1. Division |
| Oct 31, 2023 | Aktobe Jas 4-1 Astana II | 1. Division |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Astana II 2-3 Aktobe Jas | 1. Division |
| Jul 27, 2019 | Aktobe Jas 1-1 Astana II | 1. Division |
| Apr 15, 2019 | Astana II 4-1 Aktobe Jas | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Astana II vs Aktobe Jas on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aktobe Jas score 1.9 and concede 3.3 goals per match over their last 15; Astana II score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aktobe Jas | 1.9 | 3.3 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Astana II | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aktobe Jas sit 11th in 1. Division (20 points from 19 matches) and Astana II sit 6th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Astana II | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 37 | 26 |
| 11 | Aktobe Jas | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 60 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aktobe Jas vs Astana II?
- The Footlab model makes Astana II the favourite at 43%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for Aktobe Jas.
- Where and when is Aktobe Jas vs Astana II played?
- Aktobe Jas vs Astana II is played on October 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Munayşı, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.