Jaiyq vs Arys: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Jaiyq the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Arys. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jaiyq wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jaiyq vs Arys?
On Elo ratings, Jaiyq has 1,306 points and Arys 1,212.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jaiyq vs Arys
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jaiyq
Not enough data to predict the Jaiyq lineup.
Arys
4-3-3- AAdama Mamadou Diallo
- RR. Nurmugamet
- VV. Lozhkin
- MM. Peterman
- AAsludin Khadzhiev
- MMaksim Vaganov
- MMikhail Bashilov
- KK. Taipov
- SSanzhar Satanov
- AAleksandr Sokolenko
- TTimurbek Zakirov
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jaiyq have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Arys have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Turan Turkistan(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Akademiya Ontustik(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Shakhter Karagandy(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Yelimay Semey 2(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Aktobe Jas(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Yelimay Semey 2(away) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Aktobe Jas(home) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Kaspij Aktau 2(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Ekibastuz(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Sport Academy Kairat(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Jaiyq win, 0 draws, 0 Arys wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Arys 0-1 Jaiyq | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Jaiyq score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arys score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaiyq | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Arys | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jaiyq sit 6th in 1. Division (32 points from 24 matches) and Arys sit 9th (27 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jaiyq | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 27 | 32 |
| 9 | Arys | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 45 | 27 |
A question about Jaiyq vs Arys?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jaiyq vs Arys?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jaiyq the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Arys.
- Where and when is Jaiyq vs Arys played?
- Jaiyq vs Arys is played on October 22, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.