Ekibastuz vs Taraz: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Shakhter, Ėkibastyz
The Footlab AI model makes Taraz the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Ekibastuz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Taraz wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ekibastuz vs Taraz?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Ekibastuz (1,205) and Taraz (1,300).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ekibastuz vs Taraz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ekibastuz
4-3-3- 20A. Piskun
- 11A. Erken
- 98G. Zakharenko
- 8F. Abaev
- 22A. Bralin
- 14I. Demin
- 54Amirgali Orazbek
- 40A. Orazaly
- 5A. Suleymenov
- 18K. Gorizanov
- 1I. Sotnik
Taraz
4-3-3- 17A. Mukanbetzhanov
- 8M. Zhumat
- 77A. Suley
- 5E. Keulimzhay
- 6D. Lesbek
- 31S. Kemelbek
- 33Z. Zhaksylykov
- 4Madiyar Nuraly
- 12Z. Umirzakov
- 30M. Amirkhanov
- 1E. Rakhmetulla
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ekibastuz have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Taraz have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Khan Tengri(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Astana II(away) | 1-7 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Tobol 2(home) | 1-5 | 1. Division |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Arys(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Turan Turkistan(home) | 2-4 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sport Academy Kairat(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Shakhter Karagandy(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Khan Tengri(home) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Astana II(away) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Tobol 2(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ekibastuz win, 1 draw, 4 Taraz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Taraz 3-0 Ekibastuz | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Taraz 1-0 Ekibastuz | 1. Division |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Ekibastuz 4-1 Taraz | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Ekibastuz 1-1 Taraz | 1. Division |
| May 22, 2024 | Taraz 2-1 Ekibastuz | 1. Division |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Taraz 2-1 Ekibastuz | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ekibastuz score 1.6 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Taraz score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekibastuz | 1.6 | 2.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Taraz | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ekibastuz sit 10th in 1. Division (27 points from 24 matches) and Taraz sit 7th (31 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Taraz | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 33 | 31 |
| 10 | Ekibastuz | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 54 | 27 |
A question about Ekibastuz vs Taraz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ekibastuz vs Taraz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Taraz the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Ekibastuz.
- Where and when is Ekibastuz vs Taraz played?
- Ekibastuz vs Taraz is played on October 22, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Shakhter, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.