Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Khan Tengri: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Kaspij Aktau 2 the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Khan Tengri. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Khan Tengri?
Kaspij Aktau 2 starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,320 vs 1,197).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kaspij Aktau 2 have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Khan Tengri have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jaiyq(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Yelimay Semey 2(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Shakhter Karagandy(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Aktobe Jas(home) | 6-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Ekibastuz(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tobol 2(away) | 4-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arys(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Akademiya Ontustik(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Turan Turkistan(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Jaiyq(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Kaspij Aktau 2 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Khan Tengri win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Khan Tengri 2-2 Kaspij Aktau 2 | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Khan Tengri vs Kaspij Aktau 2 on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kaspij Aktau 2 score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Khan Tengri score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaspij Aktau 2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Khan Tengri | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kaspij Aktau 2 sit 9th in 1. Division (25 points from 19 matches) and Khan Tengri sit 10th (21 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kaspij Aktau 2 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 25 |
| 10 | Khan Tengri | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 35 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Khan Tengri?
- The Footlab model makes Kaspij Aktau 2 the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Khan Tengri.
- Where and when is Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Khan Tengri played?
- Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Khan Tengri is played on October 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.