Sport Academy Kairat vs Astana II: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadïon Akademïï T.S.Segïzbaeva, Almaty
The Footlab model makes Sport Academy Kairat the favourite at 89%, against 8% for a draw and 3% for Astana II. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sport Academy Kairat vs Astana II?
Sport Academy Kairat is a heavy favourite: 1,654 Elo points against 1,185, a 469-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sport Academy Kairat have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Astana II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Turan Turkistan(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Akademiya Ontustik(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Yelimay Semey 2(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jaiyq(home) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Aktobe Jas(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Shakhter Karagandy(away) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Tobol 2(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Turan Turkistan(away) | 1-5 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Arys(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Akademiya Ontustik(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sport Academy Kairat win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Astana II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Astana II 2-3 Sport Academy Kairat | 1. Division |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Sport Academy Kairat 5-1 Astana II | 1. Division |
| May 25, 2023 | Astana II 3-1 Sport Academy Kairat | 1. Division |
| Oct 17, 2022 | Astana II 2-2 Sport Academy Kairat | 1. Division |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Sport Academy Kairat 2-1 Astana II | 1. Division |
| Oct 21, 2019 | Astana II 0-5 Sport Academy Kairat | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Astana II vs Sport Academy Kairat on Jun 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sport Academy Kairat score 3.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Astana II score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Academy Kairat | 3.2 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Astana II | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sport Academy Kairat sit 2nd in 1. Division (46 points from 19 matches) and Astana II sit 6th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sport Academy Kairat | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 60 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | Astana II | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 37 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sport Academy Kairat vs Astana II?
- The Footlab model makes Sport Academy Kairat the favourite at 89%, against 8% for a draw and 3% for Astana II.
- Where and when is Sport Academy Kairat vs Astana II played?
- Sport Academy Kairat vs Astana II is played on September 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadïon Akademïï T.S.Segïzbaeva, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.