Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
The Footlab model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Al Khaleej Saihat. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat?
Al-Ahli Jeddah is a heavy favourite: 2,104 Elo points against 1,758 — a 346-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Ahli Jeddah have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Al Khaleej Saihat have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Abha(home) | 4-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Anwar(away) | 2-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Shabab(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Okhdood(away) | 0-2 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al Taawon(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 1-4 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Al-Ahli Jeddah win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Al Khaleej Saihat win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat 1-4 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 4-1 Al Khaleej Saihat | Pro League |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 2-2 Al Khaleej Saihat | Pro League |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Al Khaleej Saihat 0-3 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-0 Al Khaleej Saihat | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2023 | Al Khaleej Saihat 1-3 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Ahli Jeddah on May 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Ahli Jeddah score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Al Khaleej Saihat score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Al Khaleej Saihat | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 3rd in Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Al Khaleej Saihat sit 11th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Al Khaleej Saihat.
- Where and when is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat played?
- Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat is played on October 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at King Abdullah Sports City, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.