NEOM vs Abha: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)King Khalid Sport City Stadium, Tabouk
The Footlab AI model makes NEOM the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Abha. The most likely score is 1-1. If NEOM wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NEOM vs Abha?
NEOM starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,871 vs 1,730).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NEOM vs Abha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NEOM
4-4-2- 91A. Lacazette
- 70Haroune Camara
- 72A. Koné
- 14Khalil Al Absi
- 15Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
- 77Muhannad Al Saad
- 5M. Sarr
- 44N. Zézé
- 27Islam Hawsawi
- 19Mohannad Abu Taha
- 1M. Bułka
Abha
4-5-1- 44M. Batshuayi
- 7Firas Al-Ghamdi
- 10N. Fekir
- 19Abdullah Al Fahad
- 17Abdulkarim Darisi
- 11A. Gory
- 3J. Gaari
- 37Abdulbasit Al-Hindi
- 39M. Al-Zaid
- 80Safwan Saud
- 16D. Léon
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 01:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEOM have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Abha have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 4-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Al Riyadh(away) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Diriyah(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Al-Fayha(away) | 2-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 NEOM win, 1 draw, 0 Abha wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | NEOM 2-2 Abha | Division 1 |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Abha 0-2 NEOM | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
NEOM score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Abha score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEOM | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Abha | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NEOM sit 5th in Pro League (15 points from 7 matches) and Abha sit 18th (2 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | NEOM | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 15 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 2 |
A question about NEOM vs Abha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NEOM vs Abha?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEOM the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Abha.
- Where and when is NEOM vs Abha played?
- NEOM vs Abha is played on October 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at King Khalid Sport City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.