Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium, Al-Hasa
The Footlab AI model makes Al Shabab the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Al-Fateh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Shabab wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Al-Fateh (1,711) and Al Shabab (1,739).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Fateh
4-2-3-1- 9W. Kanga
- 28Z. Youssouf
- 10L. Haraslín
- 8M. Lixandru
- 80Faisal Al Abdulwahed
- 11M. Batna
- 16Abdulelah Al Khaibari
- 3K. Boateng
- 22Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari
- 78Abdulaziz Al Suwailem
- 1A. Šemper
Al Shabab
4-4-2- 9Roger Martínez
- 11Daniel Podence
- 29Y. Adli
- 8J. Brownhill
- 10Y. Carrasco
- 22Hammam Al-Hammami
- 4T. Jedvaj
- 17Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani
- 3M. Barry
- 21Dhari Al Anazi
- 1M. Diaw
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Fateh have 1 win, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Al Shabab have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 2-4 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Diriyah(home) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al Taawon(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(home) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Riyadh(home) | 3-3 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Al-Fateh wins, 3 draws, 1 Al Shabab win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Al Shabab 1-1 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Al-Fateh 2-0 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| May 1, 2025 | Al-Fateh 3-1 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Dec 5, 2024 | Al Shabab 2-2 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| May 27, 2024 | Al Shabab 3-2 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Al-Fateh 1-1 Al Shabab | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh on Apr 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Fateh score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shabab score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fateh | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Shabab | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Fateh sit 15th in Pro League (3 points from 7 matches) and Al Shabab sit 14th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Al Shabab | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 15 | Al-Fateh | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
A question about Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Shabab the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Al-Fateh.
- Where and when is Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab played?
- Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab is played on October 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.