Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Khobar
The Footlab model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Al-Qadisiyah FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
Al-Hilal Saudi FC starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (2,185 vs 2,059).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Qadisiyah FC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Al-Hilal Saudi FC have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Taee(away) | 5-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Levante(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(away) | 5-1 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Al-Fayha(away) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al-Raed(away) | 2-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(home) | 4-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | MC Alger(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al-Qadisiyah FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC 2-2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2-2 Al-Qadisiyah FC | Pro League |
| May 26, 2025 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2-0 Al-Qadisiyah FC | Pro League |
| Jan 27, 2025 | Al-Qadisiyah FC 2-1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1-0 Al-Qadisiyah FC | Pro League |
| Dec 21, 2020 | Al-Qadisiyah FC 1-3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC on Jan 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Qadisiyah FC score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Hilal Saudi FC score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Qadisiyah FC sit 8th in Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and Al-Hilal Saudi FC sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Al-Qadisiyah FC.
- Where and when is Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC played?
- Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC is played on October 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.