Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Al Awal Park at King Saud University, Riyadh
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Al Diriyah. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah?
Al-Nassr starts as the favourite with a 264-point Elo edge (2,063 vs 1,799).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Nassr
4-4-2- 7Cristiano Ronaldo
- 79João Félix
- 10S. Mané
- 11Samú Costa
- 20Ângelo
- 17Abdullah Al Khaibari
- 12Nawaf Boushal
- 5Abdulelah Al Amri
- 26Íñigo Martínez
- 6Saad Al Nasser
- 24Bento
Al Diriyah
4-3-3- 17C. Diandy
- 29D. Núñez
- 10A. Boulbina
- 5I. Gueye
- 20E. Millot
- 88Abdulelah Al Malki
- 99C. Mbemba
- 2Abdulaziz Al Faraj
- 19B. Djimsiti
- 16Hussain Al Sibyani
- 22N. Vasilj
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 07:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Nassr have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Al Diriyah have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Al Ain(away) | 0-4 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Abha(home) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Abha(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al-Fateh(away) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Al-Nassr win, 0 draws, 0 Al Diriyah wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Diriyah 1-4 Al-Nassr | King's Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Nassr score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Al Diriyah score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Nassr | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Al Diriyah | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Nassr sit 3rd in Pro League (16 points from 7 matches) and Al Diriyah sit 8th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 16 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
A question about Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Al Diriyah.
- Where and when is Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah played?
- Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah is played on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Al Awal Park at King Saud University, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.