Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, Abha
The Footlab model makes Al-Faisaly FC the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Abha. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Abha (1,790) and Al-Faisaly FC (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abha have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Al-Faisaly FC have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Orubah(away) | 0-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Sharjah FC(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 13, 2026 | Al-Raed(away) | 1-5 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 1-3 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 2-4 | Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beltinci(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 14, 2026 | Al Baten(home) | 4-0 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Al Bukayriyah(away) | 2-0 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Abha win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Al-Faisaly FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC 0-2 Abha | Division 1 |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Abha 2-2 Al-Faisaly FC | Division 1 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Al-Faisaly FC 2-2 Abha | Division 1 |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Abha 3-1 Al-Faisaly FC | Division 1 |
| May 6, 2022 | Abha 0-0 Al-Faisaly FC | Pro League |
| Nov 4, 2021 | Al-Faisaly FC 1-0 Abha | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Faisaly FC vs Abha on Jan 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Abha score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Faisaly FC score 2.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abha | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Al-Faisaly FC | 2.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Abha sit 12th in Pro League (0 points from 1 matches) and Al-Faisaly FC sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Abha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Al-Faisaly FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Faisaly FC the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Abha.
- Where and when is Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC played?
- Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC is played on September 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.