Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium, Al Majma'ah
The Footlab model makes Al-Fayha the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Al Riyadh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Al-Fayha (1,766) and Al Riyadh (1,720).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Fayha have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Al Riyadh have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(home) | 0-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al-Adalah(away) | 2-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Nassr(home) | 0-4 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Zulfi(away) | 2-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 2-4 | Pro League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Al Okhdood(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Fayha win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Al Riyadh win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Al-Fayha 4-2 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Al Riyadh 1-1 Al-Fayha | Pro League |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Al Riyadh 0-0 Al-Fayha | Pro League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Al-Fayha 2-0 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Al-Fayha 1-1 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Al Riyadh 1-2 Al-Fayha | King's Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Fayha score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Al Riyadh score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fayha | 0.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Al Riyadh | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Fayha sit 15th in Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and Al Riyadh sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Al-Fayha | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Riyadh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Fayha the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Al Riyadh.
- Where and when is Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh played?
- Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh is played on September 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.