Al-Hazm vs NEOM: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Ar-Rass Stadium (Al Hazm Club Stadium), Rass
The Footlab model makes NEOM the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Al-Hazm. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Hazm vs NEOM?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Al-Hazm (1,806) and NEOM (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Hazm have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; NEOM have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Bukayriyah(away) | 3-2 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Abha(away) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| May 21, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| May 14, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(away) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| May 9, 2026 | Al Najma(away) | 2-2 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(away) | 3-1 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Al-Hazm win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 NEOM win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | NEOM 1-1 Al-Hazm | Pro League |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Al-Hazm 1-2 NEOM | Pro League |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Al-Hazm 2-1 NEOM | King's Cup |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Al-Hazm 0-2 NEOM | Division 1 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | NEOM 2-0 Al-Hazm | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Hazm score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; NEOM score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hazm | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| NEOM | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Hazm sit 5th in Pro League (3 points from 1 matches) and NEOM sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al-Hazm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | NEOM | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Hazm vs NEOM?
- The Footlab model makes NEOM the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Al-Hazm.
- Where and when is Al-Hazm vs NEOM played?
- Al-Hazm vs NEOM is played on September 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Ar-Rass Stadium (Al Hazm Club Stadium), in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.