Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Kingdom Arena, Riyadh
The Footlab model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Al-Ittihad FC. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC?
Al-Hilal Saudi FC starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (2,185 vs 1,995).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Hilal Saudi FC have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Al-Ittihad FC have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Al-Fayha(away) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al-Raed(away) | 2-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(home) | 4-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | MC Alger(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Najma(away) | 3-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Al-Jazira(away) | 4-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Al-Ittihad FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1-1 Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Al-Ittihad FC 0-2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Al-Ittihad FC 4-1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League |
| Jan 7, 2025 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2-2 Al-Ittihad FC | King's Cup |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3-1 Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League |
| Apr 30, 2024 | Al-Ittihad FC 1-2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | King's Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Hilal Saudi FC score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Ittihad FC score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Al-Ittihad FC | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Hilal Saudi FC sit 1st in Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Al-Ittihad FC sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Al-Ittihad FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Al-Ittihad FC.
- Where and when is Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC played?
- Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC is played on September 17, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Kingdom Arena, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.