Al-Khor vs Al-Gharafa B: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al-Khwar Stadium, Al-Khor
The Footlab model makes Al-Gharafa B the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Al-Khor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Khor vs Al-Gharafa B?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Al-Khor (1,564) and Al-Gharafa B (1,490).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Khor have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Al-Gharafa B have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al-Markhiya(home) | 0-3 | Second Division |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Al Fujairah SC(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Al-Markhiya(home) | 0-3 | Second Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(home) | 2-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Al Kharaitiyat(away) | 2-2 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(away) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 3, 2017 | Al-Markhiya(home) | 1-6 | Second Division |
| Mar 8, 2017 | Umm Salal B(home) | 10-1 | Second Division |
| Mar 5, 2017 | El Jaish SC B(home) | 2-1 | Second Division |
| Feb 12, 2017 | Al Shahaniya II(home) | 1-5 | Second Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Khor score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Gharafa B score 2.3 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Khor | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Gharafa B | 2.3 | 3.1 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Khor sit 8th in Second Division (0 points from 1 matches) and Al-Gharafa B sit 4th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Gharafa B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Al-Khor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Khor vs Al-Gharafa B?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Gharafa B the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Al-Khor.
- Where and when is Al-Khor vs Al-Gharafa B played?
- Al-Khor vs Al-Gharafa B is played on October 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Khwar Stadium, in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.