Qatar U23 vs Al-Markhiya: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Khalifa International Stadium, Ar-Rayyan
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Markhiya the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Qatar U23. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Markhiya wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Qatar U23 vs Al-Markhiya?
Al-Markhiya starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,663 vs 1,533).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Qatar U23 vs Al-Markhiya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Qatar U23
4-3-3- 9M. Gouda
- 19Y. Jarrar
- 7Mubarak Shanan Hamza
- 16Mohamed Hani Faragalla
- 12M. Sherif
- 3Q. H. Ali Rawi
- 6Z. El Jaouni
- 7Ghanem Al Minhali
- 5Ali Shahabi
- 10Salem Reda
- 1A. Osman
Al-Markhiya
4-3-3- 9Lucão
- 22Rúben Lameiras
- 77H. Sanhaji
- 8S. Cola
- 7A. Aboutrika
- 11Rodrigo Tabata
- 23N. Sarr
- 3N. Rahman
- 16E. El Sadeq
- 6M. Abdullah
- 33R. Kwasigroch
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qatar U23 have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Al-Markhiya have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Saudi Arabia U23(away) | 0-2 | Asian Games |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Korea Republic U23(home) | 1-4 | Asian Games |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Al Waab(away) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(away) | 0-2 | Second Division |
| Aug 25, 2026 | UMM Salal(away) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al Shamal II(away) | 3-1 | Second Division |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 1-1 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Lusail City(away) | 0-1 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Al Rayyan SC B(away) | 2-0 | Second Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Al-Gharafa B(away) | 3-0 | Second Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Qatar U23 score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Markhiya score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar U23 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Al-Markhiya | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qatar U23 sit 9th in Second Division (2 points from 3 matches) and Al-Markhiya sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Markhiya | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Qatar U23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
A question about Qatar U23 vs Al-Markhiya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Qatar U23 vs Al-Markhiya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Markhiya the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Qatar U23.
- Where and when is Qatar U23 vs Al-Markhiya played?
- Qatar U23 vs Al-Markhiya is played on October 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Khalifa International Stadium, in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.