Al Minaa Basra vs Newroz: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 19, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Basra International Stadium, Basra
The Footlab AI model makes Newroz the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Al Minaa Basra. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,783 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Newroz?
Newroz starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,593 vs 1,469).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Minaa Basra vs Newroz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Minaa Basra
Not enough data to predict the Al Minaa Basra lineup.
Newroz
Not enough data to predict the Newroz lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Minaa Basra have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Newroz have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Newroz(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Naft Maysan(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Zakho(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Mosul(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Al Minaa Basra wins, 0 draws, 3 Newroz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Newroz 2-0 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Newroz 1-0 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Al Minaa Basra 1-5 Newroz | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Newroz vs Al Minaa Basra on Oct 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Minaa Basra score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Newroz score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Minaa Basra | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Newroz | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Minaa Basra sit 11th in Iraqi League (12 points from 10 matches) and Newroz sit 2nd (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Newroz | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 21 |
| 11 | Al Minaa Basra | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
A question about Al Minaa Basra vs Newroz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Minaa Basra vs Newroz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newroz the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Al Minaa Basra.
- Where and when is Al Minaa Basra vs Newroz played?
- Al Minaa Basra vs Newroz is played on March 19, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Basra International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.