Al Nasr vs Fanja: prediction and stats
Professional LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:05 PM (UTC)Al-Saada Stadium, Salalah
The Footlab model makes Al Nasr the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Fanja. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Nasr vs Fanja?
Al Nasr starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,591 vs 1,459).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Nasr have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Fanja have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Saham(away) | 2-0 | Professional League |
| May 18, 2026 | Smail(home) | 1-1 | Professional League |
| May 13, 2026 | Bahla(away) | 3-1 | Professional League |
| May 4, 2026 | Al-Nahda(home) | 0-1 | Professional League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Sohar(home) | 0-1 | Professional League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | Al Musannah(away) | 1-1 | Sultan Cup |
| Dec 5, 2024 | Al Seeb(away) | 0-3 | Sultan Cup |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Al Wehda(away) | 1-0 | Sultan Cup |
| Dec 1, 2023 | Al Nasr(away) | 0-2 | Sultan Cup |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Al Nasr(home) | 1-2 | Sultan Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Al Nasr win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Fanja win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2023 | Al Nasr 2-0 Fanja | Sultan Cup |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Fanja 1-2 Al Nasr | Sultan Cup |
| Feb 11, 2022 | Fanja 0-2 Al Nasr | Sultan Cup |
| Jan 20, 2022 | Al Nasr 2-0 Fanja | Sultan Cup |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Fanja 3-1 Al Nasr | Professional League |
| Oct 18, 2019 | Al Nasr 3-2 Fanja | Professional League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Nasr score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fanja score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Nasr | 1.3 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Fanja | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Nasr | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 20 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Nasr vs Fanja?
- The Footlab model makes Al Nasr the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Fanja.
- Where and when is Al Nasr vs Fanja played?
- Al Nasr vs Fanja is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:05 PM (UTC) at Al-Saada Stadium, in the Professional League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.