Smail vs Saham: prediction and stats
Professional LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC)Al-Seeb Stadium, Seeb
The Footlab model makes Saham the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Smail. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Smail vs Saham?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Smail (1,370) and Saham (1,368).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Smail have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Saham have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Bahla(home) | 0-1 | Professional League |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Nasr(away) | 1-1 | Professional League |
| May 14, 2026 | Sohar(home) | 2-1 | Professional League |
| May 5, 2026 | Oman Club(away) | 1-2 | Professional League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Al-Nahda(home) | 0-1 | Professional League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Al Nasr(home) | 0-2 | Professional League |
| May 18, 2026 | Sohar(away) | 2-2 | Professional League |
| May 13, 2026 | Oman Club(home) | 1-0 | Professional League |
| May 4, 2026 | Al-Khabourah(away) | 0-0 | Professional League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Al-Shabab(away) | 0-3 | Professional League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Smail win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Saham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Saham 0-4 Smail | Professional League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Smail 2-2 Saham | Professional League |
| Nov 19, 2021 | Smail 0-1 Saham | Sultan Cup |
| Jan 21, 2021 | Saham 1-1 Smail | Sultan Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Smail score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Saham score 0.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smail | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Saham | 0.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Smail sit 10th in Professional League (26 points from 26 matches) and Saham sit 11th (26 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Smail | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 39 | 26 |
| 11 | Saham | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 44 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Smail vs Saham?
- The Footlab model makes Saham the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Smail.
- Where and when is Smail vs Saham played?
- Smail vs Saham is played on August 31, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC) at Al-Seeb Stadium, in the Professional League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.