Sohar vs Ibri: prediction and stats
Professional LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 04:15 PM (UTC)Sohar Regional Sports Complex, Sohar
The Footlab model makes Sohar the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Ibri. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sohar vs Ibri?
Sohar starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,519 vs 1,358).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sohar have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Ibri have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Sur(away) | 3-3 | Professional League |
| May 18, 2026 | Saham(home) | 2-2 | Professional League |
| May 14, 2026 | Smail(away) | 1-2 | Professional League |
| May 8, 2026 | Al-Nahda(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| May 2, 2026 | Bahla(home) | 1-1 | Professional League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Al Seeb(away) | 1-7 | Professional League |
| May 18, 2026 | Dhofar(home) | 2-0 | Professional League |
| May 12, 2026 | Al-Rustaq(away) | 0-2 | Professional League |
| May 3, 2026 | Sur(home) | 1-2 | Professional League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Saham(away) | 2-1 | Professional League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sohar win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Ibri win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Sohar 0-0 Ibri | Professional League |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Ibri 0-3 Sohar | Professional League |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Sohar 1-1 Ibri | FA Cup |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Ibri 1-0 Sohar | Professional League |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Sohar 0-1 Ibri | Professional League |
| May 19, 2024 | Ibri 1-2 Sohar | Professional League |
How many goals should we expect?
Sohar score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ibri score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sohar | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Ibri | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sohar sit 7th in Professional League (38 points from 26 matches) and Ibri sit 12th (23 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sohar | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 28 | 38 |
| 12 | Ibri | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 27 | 52 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sohar vs Ibri?
- The Footlab model makes Sohar the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Ibri.
- Where and when is Sohar vs Ibri played?
- Sohar vs Ibri is played on August 31, 2026 at 04:15 PM (UTC) at Sohar Regional Sports Complex, in the Professional League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.