Al-Rayyan SC vs Al-Gharafa: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Al-Sadd Stadium), ad-Dōha (Doha)
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Rayyan SC the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Al-Gharafa. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Rayyan SC vs Al-Gharafa?
Al-Rayyan SC starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,855 vs 1,691).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Rayyan SC vs Al-Gharafa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Rayyan SC
4-1-4-1- 19Ahmed Al Rawi
- 10Róger Guedes
- 11Gabriel Pereira
- 31D. Amaro
- 40Gregore
- 22Ahmed Al Ganehi
- 5David García
- 8Jassem Gaber
- 13André Amaro
- 12Ahmed Al Minhali
- 57Mahmud Abunada
Al-Gharafa
4-2-3-1- 9F. Magri
- 13F. Sassi
- 29F. Díaz
- 8Y. Brahimi
- 96A. Ounas
- 10I. Bennacer
- 18Ayoub Al Oui
- 4S. Sano
- 23Saifeldeen Hassan Fadlalla
- 2Abdulrahman Faiz Al Rashidi
- 1Khalifa Ababacar
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Rayyan SC have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Al-Gharafa have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Al-Sailiya(away) | 1-1 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Qatar SC(home) | 2-2 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Al Faisaly(home) | 4-3 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 3-0 | Stars League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(home) | 1-1 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Wakrah(away) | 2-3 | Stars League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Al Mesaimeer(home) | 4-2 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 0-0 | Stars League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al Sadd(away) | 1-4 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al-Rayyan SC win, 1 draw, 4 Al-Gharafa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Al-Gharafa 3-2 Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Al-Rayyan SC 2-3 Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| May 24, 2025 | Al-Rayyan SC 1-2 Al-Gharafa | Emir Cup |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Al-Rayyan SC 2-2 Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Al-Gharafa 2-1 Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League |
| May 1, 2024 | Al-Rayyan SC 2-1 Al-Gharafa | Qatar Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al-Gharafa vs Al-Rayyan SC on Feb 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Rayyan SC score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Gharafa score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Rayyan SC | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Gharafa | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Rayyan SC sit 2nd in Stars League (10 points from 4 matches) and Al-Gharafa sit 10th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Rayyan SC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Al-Rayyan SC vs Al-Gharafa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Rayyan SC vs Al-Gharafa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Rayyan SC the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Al-Gharafa.
- Where and when is Al-Rayyan SC vs Al-Gharafa played?
- Al-Rayyan SC vs Al-Gharafa is played on October 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Al-Sadd Stadium), in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.