Al Zawra'a vs Newroz: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueMatchday 17Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Al-Zawraa Stadium, Baghdād
The Footlab AI model makes Newroz the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Al Zawra'a. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newroz wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,555 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Zawra'a vs Newroz?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Al Zawra'a (1,626) and Newroz (1,615).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Zawra'a vs Newroz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Zawra'a
4-3-3- 11M. Cabrera
- 99H. Abdulkareem
- 72Mohamed Sherif
- 15I. Soro
- 10Mohammed Qasim
- 77Ameer Sabah
- 3Masies Artien
- 53Ali Adnan
- 44M. Chobanov
- 25Sajjad Mahdi
- 1Ahmed Basil
Newroz
Not enough data to predict the Newroz lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 10:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Zawra'a have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Newroz have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Al Riffa(home) | 1-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al Nasr(home) | 0-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Qatar SC(away) | 1-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Karbala(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Diyala(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Zakho(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Al Zawra'a wins, 1 draw, 0 Newroz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Newroz 1-1 Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Zawra'a score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Newroz score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Zawra'a | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Newroz | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Zawra'a sit 6th in Iraqi League (21 points from 13 matches) and Newroz sit 2nd (26 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Newroz | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Al Zawra'a | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 21 |
A question about Al Zawra'a vs Newroz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Zawra'a vs Newroz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newroz the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Al Zawra'a.
- Where and when is Al Zawra'a vs Newroz played?
- Al Zawra'a vs Newroz is played on December 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Zawraa Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.