Al Karkh vs Al Minaa Basra: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Al Saher Ahmed Radhi Stadium, Baghdād
The Footlab AI model makes Al Karkh the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Al Minaa Basra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Karkh wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Karkh vs Al Minaa Basra?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Al Karkh (1,528) and Al Minaa Basra (1,469).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Karkh vs Al Minaa Basra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Karkh
Not enough data to predict the Al Karkh lineup.
Al Minaa Basra
Not enough data to predict the Al Minaa Basra lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Karkh have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Al Minaa Basra have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al-Karma(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Naft Maysan(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Talaba(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Newroz(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Naft Maysan(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Al Karkh wins, 1 draw, 0 Al Minaa Basra wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Al Karkh 1-0 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra 0-2 Al Karkh | Iraqi League |
| May 14, 2025 | Al Karkh 1-1 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Al Minaa Basra 1-2 Al Karkh | Iraqi League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Al Minaa Basra 1-3 Al Karkh | Iraqi League |
| Oct 31, 2023 | Al Karkh 4-1 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Al Karkh vs Al Minaa Basra on Mar 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Karkh score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Minaa Basra score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Karkh | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Minaa Basra | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Karkh sit 19th in Iraqi League (7 points from 9 matches) and Al Minaa Basra sit 11th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Al Minaa Basra | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 19 | Al Karkh | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 7 |
A question about Al Karkh vs Al Minaa Basra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Karkh vs Al Minaa Basra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Karkh the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Al Minaa Basra.
- Where and when is Al Karkh vs Al Minaa Basra played?
- Al Karkh vs Al Minaa Basra is played on December 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Al Saher Ahmed Radhi Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.