Newroz vs Al Karkh: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Newroz the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Al Karkh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newroz wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newroz vs Al Karkh?
On Elo ratings, Newroz has 1,585 points and Al Karkh 1,522.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newroz vs Al Karkh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newroz
Not enough data to predict the Newroz lineup.
Al Karkh
Not enough data to predict the Al Karkh lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newroz have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Al Karkh have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Zakho(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Mosul(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al-Karma(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Naft Maysan(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Talaba(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Karbala(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Newroz win, 1 draw, 0 Al Karkh wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2025 | Al Karkh 2-2 Newroz | Iraqi League |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Newroz 1-0 Al Karkh | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Newroz score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Karkh score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newroz | 1.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Al Karkh | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newroz sit 2nd in Iraqi League (18 points from 9 matches) and Al Karkh sit 18th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Newroz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 18 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
A question about Newroz vs Al Karkh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newroz vs Al Karkh?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newroz the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Al Karkh.
- Where and when is Newroz vs Al Karkh played?
- Newroz vs Al Karkh is played on December 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.