Alaves vs Levante: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
The Footlab AI model makes Alaves the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Levante. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alaves wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alaves vs Levante?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Alaves (2,053) and Levante (2,033).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alaves vs Levante
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alaves
3-5-2- 15L. Boyé
- 11Toni Martínez
- 19Pablo Ibáñez
- 21A. Rebbach
- 8Antonio Blanco
- 7Angel Pérez
- 4Denis Suárez
- 14N. Tenaglia
- 17Jonny
- 2N. Valentini
- 1Sivera
Levante
4-4-2- 9Iván Romero
- 11Yanis Musuayi
- 8Jon Ander Olasagasti
- 7Brugui
- 20Oriol Rey
- 17Víctor García
- 4Dela
- 23Manu Sánchez
- 22J. Toljan
- 2A. Mandi
- 13M. Ryan
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alaves have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Levante have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Racing Santander(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Osasuna(home) | 5-2 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 3-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Villarreal(away) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 2-4 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 5-2 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Alaves wins, 2 draws, 2 Levante wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Levante 2-0 Alaves | La Liga |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Alaves 2-1 Levante | La Liga |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Levante 1-1 Alaves | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Levante 0-1 Alaves | Segunda División |
| Jun 11, 2023 | Alaves 0-0 Levante | Segunda División |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Levante 2-0 Alaves | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Alaves score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Levante score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 1.4 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Levante | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alaves sit 7th in La Liga (11 points from 8 matches) and Levante sit 17th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 11 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Alaves vs Levante?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alaves vs Levante?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alaves the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Levante.
- Where and when is Alaves vs Levante played?
- Alaves vs Levante is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Mendizorroza, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.