Osasuna vs Real Sociedad: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Sadar, Iruñea
The Footlab AI model makes Osasuna the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Real Sociedad. The most likely score is 1-1. If Osasuna wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osasuna vs Real Sociedad?
On Elo ratings, Osasuna has 2,037 points and Real Sociedad 2,153.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Osasuna vs Real Sociedad
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Osasuna
4-3-3- 17A. Budimir
- 21Jonathan Dubasin
- 18Raul Moro
- 7Moncayola
- 16Moi Gómez
- 8Iker Muñoz
- 24Catena
- 23Abel Bretones
- 22F. Boyomo
- 19V. Rosier
- 1Sergio Herrera
Real Sociedad
4-4-2- 10Mikel Oyarzabal
- 24L. Sučić
- 4Jon Gorrotxategi
- 11Gonçalo Guedes
- 18Carlos Soler
- 7Barrenetxea
- 6Jon Martín
- 19M. Sarr
- 17Sergio Gómez
- 2J. Aramburu
- 1Álex Remiro
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osasuna have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Real Sociedad have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Atletico Calatayud(away) | 6-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 0-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 2-5 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Levante(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 6-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 5-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Osasuna win, 1 draw, 4 Real Sociedad wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Real Sociedad 3-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Real Sociedad 2-2 Osasuna | Copa del Rey |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Osasuna 1-3 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Real Sociedad 2-0 Osasuna | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Real Sociedad 2-0 Osasuna | Copa del Rey |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Osasuna 2-1 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad vs Osasuna on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Osasuna score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Real Sociedad score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Sociedad | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Osasuna sit 15th in La Liga (11 points from 11 matches) and Real Sociedad sit 5th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Osasuna vs Real Sociedad?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osasuna vs Real Sociedad?
- The Footlab AI model makes Osasuna the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Real Sociedad.
- Where and when is Osasuna vs Real Sociedad played?
- Osasuna vs Real Sociedad is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Sadar, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.