Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo La Coruna: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid
The Footlab model makes Rayo Vallecano the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Deportivo La Coruna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo La Coruna?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Rayo Vallecano (2,096) and Deportivo La Coruna (2,057).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Vallecano have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo La Coruna have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rayo Vallecano win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Deportivo La Coruna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2020 | Deportivo La Coruna 3-3 Rayo Vallecano | Segunda División |
| Sep 1, 2019 | Rayo Vallecano 3-1 Deportivo La Coruna | Segunda División |
| Feb 1, 2016 | Deportivo La Coruna 2-2 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| Sep 14, 2015 | Rayo Vallecano 1-3 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Jan 30, 2015 | Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Deportivo La Coruna 2-2 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo La Coruna vs Rayo Vallecano on Jun 20, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Rayo Vallecano score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo La Coruna score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rayo Vallecano sit 14th in La Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Deportivo La Coruna sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Deportivo La Coruna | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo La Coruna?
- The Footlab model makes Rayo Vallecano the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Deportivo La Coruna.
- Where and when is Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo La Coruna played?
- Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo La Coruna is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Vallecas, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.