Getafe vs Elche: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Coliseum, Getafe
The Footlab model makes Getafe the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Elche. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Getafe vs Elche?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Getafe (2,061) and Elche (2,042).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Getafe have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Elche have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 0-5 | La Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Al Ain(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Getafe win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Elche win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Elche 1-0 Getafe | La Liga |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Getafe 1-0 Elche | La Liga |
| May 20, 2023 | Getafe 1-1 Elche | La Liga |
| Oct 31, 2022 | Elche 0-1 Getafe | La Liga |
| Jul 27, 2022 | Getafe 0-1 Elche | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2022 | Elche 3-1 Getafe | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Getafe score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Elche score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Elche | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Getafe sit 8th in La Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Elche sit 18th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Getafe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 18 | Elche | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Getafe vs Elche?
- The Footlab model makes Getafe the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Elche.
- Where and when is Getafe vs Elche played?
- Getafe vs Elche is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Coliseum, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.