Alaves vs Real Betis: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
The Footlab AI model makes Real Betis the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Alaves. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Betis wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,005 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alaves vs Real Betis?
Real Betis starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (2,192 vs 2,035).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alaves vs Real Betis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alaves
3-5-2- 15L. Boyé
- 11Toni Martínez
- 7Angel Pérez
- 19Pablo Ibáñez
- 8Antonio Blanco
- 6Guevara
- 21A. Rebbach
- 14N. Tenaglia
- 16V. Koski
- 2N. Valentini
- 1Sivera
Real Betis
4-2-3-1- 19T. Parrott
- 10A. Ezzalzouli
- 21Marc Roca
- 22Isco
- 8Pablo Fornals
- 7Antony
- 4Natan
- 11Fran García
- 2Héctor Bellerín
- 5Marc Bartra
- 1Álvaro Vallés
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 05:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alaves have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Real Betis have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 1-6 | La Liga |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Elche(away) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Alaves wins, 2 draws, 1 Real Betis win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Alaves 2-1 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Real Betis 1-0 Alaves | La Liga |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Real Betis 1-3 Alaves | La Liga |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Alaves 0-0 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Real Betis 0-0 Alaves | La Liga |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Alaves 1-0 Real Betis | Copa del Rey |
How many goals should we expect?
Alaves score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Real Betis score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Betis | 1.8 | 1.4 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alaves sit 10th in La Liga (13 points from 12 matches) and Real Betis sit 4th (26 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 26 |
| 10 | Alaves | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 13 |
A question about Alaves vs Real Betis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alaves vs Real Betis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Betis the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Alaves.
- Where and when is Alaves vs Real Betis played?
- Alaves vs Real Betis is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Mendizorroza, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.