Atletico Madrid vs Levante: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Madrid the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Levante. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Levante?
Atletico Madrid starts as the favourite with a 222-point Elo edge (2,276 vs 2,054).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico Madrid vs Levante
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2- 7Lee Kang-In
- 15J. David
- 20G. Simeone
- 5J. Cardoso
- 8Pablo Barrios
- 10Álex Baena
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 22Álex Grimaldo
- 21C. Romero
- 17D. Hancko
- 13J. Oblak
Levante
4-4-2- 9Iván Romero
- 11Yanis Musuayi
- 8Jon Ander Olasagasti
- 7Brugui
- 20Oriol Rey
- 17Víctor García
- 4Dela
- 23Manu Sánchez
- 22J. Toljan
- 2A. Mandi
- 13M. Ryan
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Madrid have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Levante have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alaves(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Osasuna(home) | 4-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Sociedad(away) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 3-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Villarreal(away) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 2-4 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 5-2 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico Madrid wins, 2 draws, 2 Levante wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Levante 0-0 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Atletico Madrid 3-1 Levante | La Liga |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Levante 0-2 Atletico Madrid | Copa del Rey |
| Feb 16, 2022 | Atletico Madrid 0-1 Levante | La Liga |
| Oct 28, 2021 | Levante 2-2 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| Feb 20, 2021 | Atletico Madrid 0-2 Levante | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Levante vs Atletico Madrid on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Madrid score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Levante score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Levante | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Madrid sit 2nd in La Liga (19 points from 8 matches) and Levante sit 17th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 19 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Atletico Madrid vs Levante?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Madrid vs Levante?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Madrid the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Levante.
- Where and when is Atletico Madrid vs Levante played?
- Atletico Madrid vs Levante is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.