Albacete vs AD Ceuta FC: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete
The Footlab model makes Albacete the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for AD Ceuta FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Albacete vs AD Ceuta FC?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Albacete (1,959) and AD Ceuta FC (1,938).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albacete have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; AD Ceuta FC have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Levante(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Albacete win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 AD Ceuta FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC 1-0 Albacete | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Albacete 0-0 AD Ceuta FC | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: AD Ceuta FC vs Albacete on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Albacete score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; AD Ceuta FC score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| AD Ceuta FC | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Albacete sit 20th in Segunda División (0 points from 2 matches) and AD Ceuta FC sit 22nd (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Albacete | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Albacete vs AD Ceuta FC?
- The Footlab model makes Albacete the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for AD Ceuta FC.
- Where and when is Albacete vs AD Ceuta FC played?
- Albacete vs AD Ceuta FC is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Carlos Belmonte, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.