Girona vs Granada CF: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
The Footlab model makes Girona the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Granada CF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Girona vs Granada CF?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Girona (2,005) and Granada CF (1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Girona have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Granada CF have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimnastic(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Girona win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Granada CF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2024 | Girona 7-0 Granada CF | La Liga |
| Sep 18, 2023 | Granada CF 2-4 Girona | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Girona score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Granada CF score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
| Granada CF | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Girona sit 17th in Segunda División (1 points from 2 matches) and Granada CF sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Granada CF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Girona | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Girona vs Granada CF?
- The Footlab model makes Girona the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Granada CF.
- Where and when is Girona vs Granada CF played?
- Girona vs Granada CF is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.