Almeria vs Tenerife: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, Almería
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Tenerife. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,771 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almeria vs Tenerife?
On Elo ratings, Almeria has 2,077 points and Tenerife 1,992.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Almeria vs Tenerife
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 24Miguel de la Fuente
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 17B. Cipenga
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 29S. Džodić
- 33Quim Junyent
- 18F. Bonini
- 2Marcos Luna
- 3Álex Muñoz
- 5Jorge Pulido
- 1Andrés Fernández
Tenerife
4-4-2- 18Enric Gallego
- 17C. Gomis
- 10Nacho Gil
- 6Juanjo
- 11Noel López
- 16Jesús Álvarez
- 12A. Landázuri
- 2David Rodríguez
- 27N. Viereck
- 3R. Jureškin
- 1Dani Martín
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 12:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almeria have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Tenerife have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Castellonense(away) | 2-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Almeria wins, 0 draws, 1 Tenerife win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tenerife 1-0 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Almeria 2-0 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Tenerife 0-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Mar 21, 2022 | Tenerife 0-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Sep 24, 2021 | Almeria 3-1 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| May 7, 2021 | Tenerife 0-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Almeria score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tenerife score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almeria | 2.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Tenerife | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almeria sit 2nd in Segunda División (26 points from 12 matches) and Tenerife sit 14th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Almeria | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 26 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Almeria vs Tenerife?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almeria vs Tenerife?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Tenerife.
- Where and when is Almeria vs Tenerife played?
- Almeria vs Tenerife is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.