Las Palmas vs Mallorca: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Mallorca the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Las Palmas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mallorca wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Mallorca?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Las Palmas (1,977) and Mallorca (2,076).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Las Palmas vs Mallorca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Las Palmas
4-4-2- 10Jesé
- 14Manu Fuster
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 12E. Loiodice
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 24Iván Jaime
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 4Álex Suárez
- 15Juan Herzog
- 21G. Bonfanti
- 13José Caro
Mallorca
4-4-2- 18Fuentes
- 20Pablo Torre
- 7Álex Sala
- 33Adrian Liso
- 6Antonio Sánchez
- 19Josep Cerdà
- 21Raíllo
- 15John Nwankwo
- 24M. Valjent
- 5Alberto Moreno
- 1Arnau Tenas
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Mallorca have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Girona(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Las Palmas wins, 2 draws, 4 Mallorca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca 3-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Mallorca 3-1 Las Palmas | La Liga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Las Palmas 2-3 Mallorca | La Liga |
| May 11, 2024 | Mallorca 1-0 Las Palmas | La Liga |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Las Palmas 1-1 Mallorca | La Liga |
| Apr 4, 2021 | Las Palmas 1-1 Mallorca | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Mallorca vs Las Palmas on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mallorca score 1.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Mallorca | 1.7 | 0.6 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Palmas sit 15th in Segunda División (11 points from 9 matches) and Mallorca sit 4th (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mallorca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 17 |
| 15 | Las Palmas | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 11 |
A question about Las Palmas vs Mallorca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Mallorca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mallorca the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Las Palmas.
- Where and when is Las Palmas vs Mallorca played?
- Las Palmas vs Mallorca is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.