Las Palmas vs Mallorca: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Mallorca. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Mallorca?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Las Palmas (2,018) and Mallorca (2,071).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Mallorca have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Las Palmas win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Mallorca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | Mallorca 3-1 Las Palmas | La Liga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Las Palmas 2-3 Mallorca | La Liga |
| May 11, 2024 | Mallorca 1-0 Las Palmas | La Liga |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Las Palmas 1-1 Mallorca | La Liga |
| Apr 4, 2021 | Las Palmas 1-1 Mallorca | Segunda División |
| Jan 10, 2021 | Mallorca 0-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Mallorca vs Las Palmas on Feb 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mallorca score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Mallorca | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Palmas sit 1st in Segunda División (6 points from 2 matches) and Mallorca sit 8th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Mallorca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Mallorca?
- The Footlab model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Mallorca.
- Where and when is Las Palmas vs Mallorca played?
- Las Palmas vs Mallorca is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.