Match

Albania U17 vs Finland U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Kombëtar Qemal Stafa, Tirana

Albania U17Finland U17

The Footlab model makes Albania U17 the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Finland U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Albania U17 vs Finland U17?

Finland U17 starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,519 vs 1,416).

Albania U17 win45 %
Draw22 %
Finland U17 win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albania U17 have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Finland U17 have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Albania U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 9, 2026Ukraine U17(home)0-4UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Jun 8, 2026Bulgaria U17(home)5-0Friendlies
Jun 5, 2026Bulgaria U17(home)1-4Friendlies
Jun 3, 2026Latvia U17(away)2-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 17, 2025Kazakhstan U17(away)1-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Finland U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 29, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U17(away)3-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 26, 2026Moldova U17(home)0-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 23, 2026Gibraltar U17(home)3-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 18, 2026Spain U17(home)0-7Friendlies
Feb 15, 2026Portugal U17(away)0-5Friendlies

How many goals should we expect?

Albania U17 score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Finland U17 score 1.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Albania U171.12.527/1512/15
Finland U171.62.537/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Albania U17 sit 4th in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (1 points from 3 matches) and Finland U17 sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Finland U173210627
4Albania U173012261

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Albania U17 vs Finland U17?
The Footlab model makes Albania U17 the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Finland U17.
Where and when is Albania U17 vs Finland U17 played?
Albania U17 vs Finland U17 is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Kombëtar Qemal Stafa, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?