Albania U17 vs Finland U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Kombëtar Qemal Stafa, Tirana
The Footlab model makes Albania U17 the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Finland U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Albania U17 vs Finland U17?
Finland U17 starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,519 vs 1,416).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albania U17 have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Finland U17 have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Ukraine U17(home) | 0-4 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Bulgaria U17(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Bulgaria U17(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Latvia U17(away) | 2-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Kazakhstan U17(away) | 1-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Bosnia-Herzegovina U17(away) | 3-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Moldova U17(home) | 0-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Gibraltar U17(home) | 3-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Spain U17(home) | 0-7 | Friendlies |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Portugal U17(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Albania U17 score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Finland U17 score 1.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albania U17 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Finland U17 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Albania U17 sit 4th in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (1 points from 3 matches) and Finland U17 sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Finland U17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Albania U17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Albania U17 vs Finland U17?
- The Footlab model makes Albania U17 the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Finland U17.
- Where and when is Albania U17 vs Finland U17 played?
- Albania U17 vs Finland U17 is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Kombëtar Qemal Stafa, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 23, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U17vsGreece U17
- Sep 26, 2026Greece U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 26, 2026Iceland U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Gibraltar U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Greece U17vsIceland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Israel U17vsSwitzerland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Spain U17vsLiechtenstein U17