Greece U17 vs Iceland U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Greece U17 the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Iceland U17. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Greece U17 vs Iceland U17?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Greece U17 (1,565) and Iceland U17 (1,526).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greece U17 have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Iceland U17 have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Norway U17(away) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Sweden U17(away) | 3-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Montenegro U17(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Ukraine U17(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Georgia U17(away) | 2-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Portugal U17(away) | 2-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Italy U17(home) | 0-4 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Romania U17(home) | 2-5 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Greece U17(away) | 4-3 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Georgia U17(home) | 5-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Greece U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Iceland U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2025 | Greece U17 3-4 Iceland U17 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Greece U17 vs Iceland U17 on Oct 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Greece U17 score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Iceland U17 score 2.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greece U17 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Iceland U17 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Greece U17 sit 2nd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (6 points from 3 matches) and Iceland U17 sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland U17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Greece U17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Greece U17 vs Iceland U17?
- The Footlab model makes Greece U17 the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Iceland U17.
- Where and when is Greece U17 vs Iceland U17 played?
- Greece U17 vs Iceland U17 is played on September 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Iceland U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 23, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U17vsGreece U17
- Sep 26, 2026Greece U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 26, 2026Iceland U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Gibraltar U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Oct 12, 2026Israel U17vsSwitzerland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Spain U17vsLiechtenstein U17
- Oct 15, 2026Spain U17vsIsrael U17