Where and when is Iceland U17 vs Gibraltar U17 played?

Iceland U17 vs Gibraltar U17 is played on September 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Laugardalsvöllur, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Iceland U17 vs Gibraltar U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík

Iceland U17

Gibraltar U17

The Footlab model makes Iceland U17 the favourite at 82%, against 11% for a draw and 7% for Gibraltar U17. The most likely score is 3-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Iceland U17 vs Gibraltar U17?

Iceland U17 starts as the favourite with a 267-point Elo edge (1,526 vs 1,259).

Iceland U17 win82 %

Draw11 %

Gibraltar U17 win7 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iceland U17 have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Gibraltar U17 have 0, 0 and 15.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Iceland U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 31, 2026	Portugal U17(away)	2-1	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026	Italy U17(home)	0-4	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 25, 2026	Romania U17(home)	2-5	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 27, 2025	Greece U17(away)	4-3	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 24, 2025	Georgia U17(home)	5-1	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

Gibraltar U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 29, 2026	Moldova U17(home)	0-7	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 26, 2026	Bosnia-Herzegovina U17(away)	0-4	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 23, 2026	Finland U17(away)	0-3	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025	North Macedonia U17(home)	0-9	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 11, 2025	Hungary U17(away)	0-8	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

How many goals should we expect?

Iceland U17 score 2.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gibraltar U17 score 0.0 and concede 6.4. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Iceland U17	2.1	2.0	2	10/15	12/15
Gibraltar U17	0.0	6.4	0	0/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Iceland U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (6 points from 2 matches) and Gibraltar U17 sit 4th (0 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Iceland U17	2	2	0	0	9	4	6
4	Gibraltar U17	3	0	0	3	0	30	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Iceland U17 vs Gibraltar U17?: The Footlab model makes Iceland U17 the favourite at 82%, against 11% for a draw and 7% for Gibraltar U17.
Where and when is Iceland U17 vs Gibraltar U17 played?: Iceland U17 vs Gibraltar U17 is played on September 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Laugardalsvöllur, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.