Match

Iceland U17 vs Bosnia-Herzegovina U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík

Iceland U17Bosnia-Herzegovina U17

The Footlab model makes Iceland U17 the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Bosnia-Herzegovina U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Iceland U17 vs Bosnia-Herzegovina U17?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Iceland U17 (1,526) and Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 (1,482).

Iceland U17 win48 %
Draw22 %
Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iceland U17 have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Iceland U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 31, 2026Portugal U17(away)2-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026Italy U17(home)0-4UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 25, 2026Romania U17(home)2-5UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 27, 2025Greece U17(away)4-3UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 24, 2025Georgia U17(home)5-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Bosnia-Herzegovina U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 29, 2026Finland U17(home)2-3UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 26, 2026Gibraltar U17(home)4-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 23, 2026Moldova U17(away)0-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 17, 2025Malta U17(away)2-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 14, 2025Serbia U17(away)0-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

How many goals should we expect?

Iceland U17 score 2.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Iceland U172.12.0210/1512/15
Bosnia-Herzegovina U172.21.558/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Iceland U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (6 points from 2 matches) and Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 sit 3rd (4 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Iceland U172200946
3Bosnia-Herzegovina U173111634

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Iceland U17 vs Bosnia-Herzegovina U17?
The Footlab model makes Iceland U17 the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Bosnia-Herzegovina U17.
Where and when is Iceland U17 vs Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 played?
Iceland U17 vs Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Laugardalsvöllur, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Iceland U17 and Bosnia-Herzegovina U17

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