Match

Spain U17 vs Liechtenstein U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Spain U17Liechtenstein U17

The Footlab model makes Spain U17 the favourite at 92%, against 6% for a draw and 2% for Liechtenstein U17. The most likely score is 4-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spain U17 vs Liechtenstein U17?

Spain U17 is a heavy favourite: 1,760 Elo points against 1,245 — a 515-point gap.

Spain U17 win92 %
Draw6 %
Liechtenstein U17 win2 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spain U17 have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Liechtenstein U17 have 0, 0 and 15.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spain U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 4, 2026Italy U17(away)1-1UEFA U17 Championship
May 31, 2026Croatia U17(home)2-3UEFA U17 Championship
May 28, 2026Belgium U17(away)1-0UEFA U17 Championship
May 25, 2026Estonia U17(away)4-1UEFA U17 Championship
Apr 23, 2026Ukraine U17(home)3-1Friendlies
Liechtenstein U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 28, 2026Armenia U17(home)1-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 25, 2026Luxembourg U17(away)0-5UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 22, 2026Hungary U17(away)0-4UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025Wales U17(home)0-11UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 15, 2025Slovenia U17(away)0-5UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

How many goals should we expect?

Spain U17 score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Liechtenstein U17 score 0.1 and concede 6.4. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Spain U172.50.787/159/15
Liechtenstein U170.16.401/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Spain U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (9 points from 3 matches) and Liechtenstein U17 sit 4th (0 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Spain U1733001209
4Liechtenstein U1730030260

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spain U17 vs Liechtenstein U17?
The Footlab model makes Spain U17 the favourite at 92%, against 6% for a draw and 2% for Liechtenstein U17.
Where and when is Spain U17 vs Liechtenstein U17 played?
Spain U17 vs Liechtenstein U17 is played on October 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Spain U17 and Liechtenstein U17

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