Spain U17 vs Liechtenstein U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
The Footlab model makes Spain U17 the favourite at 92%, against 6% for a draw and 2% for Liechtenstein U17. The most likely score is 4-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spain U17 vs Liechtenstein U17?
Spain U17 is a heavy favourite: 1,760 Elo points against 1,245 — a 515-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spain U17 have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Liechtenstein U17 have 0, 0 and 15.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | Italy U17(away) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 31, 2026 | Croatia U17(home) | 2-3 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 28, 2026 | Belgium U17(away) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 25, 2026 | Estonia U17(away) | 4-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Ukraine U17(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Armenia U17(home) | 1-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Luxembourg U17(away) | 0-5 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Hungary U17(away) | 0-4 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Wales U17(home) | 0-11 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Slovenia U17(away) | 0-5 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Spain U17 score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Liechtenstein U17 score 0.1 and concede 6.4. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain U17 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Liechtenstein U17 | 0.1 | 6.4 | 0 | 1/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spain U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (9 points from 3 matches) and Liechtenstein U17 sit 4th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain U17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein U17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spain U17 vs Liechtenstein U17?
- The Footlab model makes Spain U17 the favourite at 92%, against 6% for a draw and 2% for Liechtenstein U17.
- Where and when is Spain U17 vs Liechtenstein U17 played?
- Spain U17 vs Liechtenstein U17 is played on October 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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