Match

Greece U17 vs Gibraltar U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Greece U17Gibraltar U17

The Footlab model makes Greece U17 the favourite at 83%, against 10% for a draw and 6% for Gibraltar U17. The most likely score is 3-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Greece U17 vs Gibraltar U17?

Greece U17 is a heavy favourite: 1,565 Elo points against 1,259 — a 306-point gap.

Greece U17 win83 %
Draw10 %
Gibraltar U17 win6 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greece U17 have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Gibraltar U17 have 0, 0 and 15.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Greece U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 31, 2026Norway U17(away)1-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026Sweden U17(away)3-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 25, 2026Montenegro U17(home)0-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 11, 2026Ukraine U17(away)1-3Friendlies
Oct 30, 2025Georgia U17(away)2-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Gibraltar U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 29, 2026Moldova U17(home)0-7UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 26, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U17(away)0-4UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 23, 2026Finland U17(away)0-3UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025North Macedonia U17(home)0-9UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 11, 2025Hungary U17(away)0-8UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

How many goals should we expect?

Greece U17 score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gibraltar U17 score 0.0 and concede 6.4. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Greece U171.51.838/1510/15
Gibraltar U170.06.400/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Greece U17 sit 2nd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (6 points from 3 matches) and Gibraltar U17 sit 4th (0 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Greece U173201436
4Gibraltar U1730030300

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Greece U17 vs Gibraltar U17?
The Footlab model makes Greece U17 the favourite at 83%, against 10% for a draw and 6% for Gibraltar U17.
Where and when is Greece U17 vs Gibraltar U17 played?
Greece U17 vs Gibraltar U17 is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Greece U17 and Gibraltar U17

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