Match

Alcione vs Athletic Carpi: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni

AlcioneAthletic Carpi

The Footlab AI model makes Alcione the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Athletic Carpi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcione wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alcione vs Athletic Carpi?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Alcione (1,748) and Athletic Carpi (1,699).

43%29%28%
Alcione winDrawAthletic Carpi win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Alcione vs Athletic Carpi

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Alcione

4-3-3
  1. 11F. Morselli
  2. 98L. Zini
  3. 96S. Palombi
  1. 23G. Galli
  2. 18E. Lopes
  3. 10J. Pitou
  1. 25Filippo Pirola
  2. 4A. Miculi
  3. 19N. Trapani
  4. 5E. Sadotti
  1. 69L. Nava

Athletic Carpi

4-3-3
  1. 90V. Vitale
  2. 18T. Carcani
  3. 83A. Sall
  1. 11F. Puletto
  2. 10F. Casarini
  3. 6A. Astrologo
  1. 19M. Rossini
  2. 24Fabio Desole
  3. 4D. Zagnoni
  4. 25G. Vaglica
  1. 1Alessandro Scacchetti

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:40 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcione have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Athletic Carpi have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alcione
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Lecco(away)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Trento(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 27, 2026Albinoleffe(away)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Union Brescia(home)0-4Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026PRO Vercelli(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Athletic Carpi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Pergolettese(away)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026PRO Vercelli(away)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 27, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(home)0-3Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Novara(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Ospitaletto(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Alcione win, 0 draws, 1 Athletic Carpi win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 10, 2022Alcione 6-1 Athletic CarpiSerie D - Girone D
Nov 28, 2021Athletic Carpi 1-0 AlcioneSerie D - Girone D

Last archived meeting: Alcione vs Athletic Carpi on Apr 10, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Alcione score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Carpi score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Alcione1.21.6210/157/15
Athletic Carpi1.31.929/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alcione sit 9th in Serie C - Girone A (12 points from 9 matches) and Athletic Carpi sit 16th (6 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Alcione9261131412
16Athletic Carpi913511196

A question about Alcione vs Athletic Carpi?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alcione vs Athletic Carpi?
The Footlab AI model makes Alcione the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Athletic Carpi.
Where and when is Alcione vs Athletic Carpi played?
Alcione vs Athletic Carpi is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ernesto Breda, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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