Pergolettese vs Lumezzane: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
The Footlab model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Pergolettese. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pergolettese vs Lumezzane?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Pergolettese (1,671) and Lumezzane (1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pergolettese have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Lumezzane have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ospitaletto(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Renate(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pergolettese win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Lumezzane win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Pergolettese 0-2 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Lumezzane 2-3 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 13, 2025 | Pergolettese 1-0 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Lumezzane 0-2 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Pergolettese 0-1 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Lumezzane 1-0 Pergolettese | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Pergolettese vs Lumezzane on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pergolettese score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lumezzane score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pergolettese | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Lumezzane | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pergolettese sit 20th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Lumezzane sit 19th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lumezzane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Pergolettese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pergolettese vs Lumezzane?
- The Footlab model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Pergolettese.
- Where and when is Pergolettese vs Lumezzane played?
- Pergolettese vs Lumezzane is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.