Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Tommaso Dal Molin, Arzignano
The Footlab model makes Arzignano Valchiampo the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Arzignano Valchiampo (1,783) and Novara (1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arzignano Valchiampo have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Novara have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Albinoleffe(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 3, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alcione(away) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sampdoria(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ospitaletto(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arzignano Valchiampo win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Novara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 Novara | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Novara 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Novara 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Arzignano Valchiampo 0-2 Novara | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Arzignano Valchiampo 0-0 Novara | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Novara 0-1 Arzignano Valchiampo | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arzignano Valchiampo score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arzignano Valchiampo | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Novara | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arzignano Valchiampo sit 12th in Serie C - Girone A (1 points from 1 matches) and Novara sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Novara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
- The Footlab model makes Arzignano Valchiampo the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Novara.
- Where and when is Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara played?
- Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Tommaso Dal Molin, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.