Lecco vs Folgore Caratese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco
The Footlab AI model makes Lecco the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Folgore Caratese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lecco wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lecco vs Folgore Caratese?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Lecco (1,769) and Folgore Caratese (1,784).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lecco vs Folgore Caratese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lecco
4-3-3- 15Alexander Murillo
- 10A. Capello
- 30N. Fasan
- 17G. Pellegrino
- 6A. Mallamo
- 21A. Metlika
- 5M. Arena
- 99Giulio Manenti
- 45M. Rizzo
- 4P. Comi
- 22T. Vettorel
Folgore Caratese
4-3-3- 9S. Spalluto
- 61A. Santarcangelo
- 10A. Vacca
- 8F. Castellano
- 99F. D'Amico
- 80F. Di Dio
- 21E. Gega
- 11M. Balzano
- 24E. Bellia
- 5S. Marchetti
- 12M. Castelnuovo
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecco have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Folgore Caratese have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pergolettese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trento(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Pergolettese(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Lecco score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Folgore Caratese score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecco | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Folgore Caratese | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lecco sit 12th in Serie C - Girone A (10 points from 9 matches) and Folgore Caratese sit 17th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lecco | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
A question about Lecco vs Folgore Caratese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lecco vs Folgore Caratese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lecco the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Folgore Caratese.
- Where and when is Lecco vs Folgore Caratese played?
- Lecco vs Folgore Caratese is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.