Match

Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 · Matchday 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Valero, Madrid

Colonia MoscardóFuenlabrada

The Footlab AI model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Fuenlabrada. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colonia Moscardó wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,211 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Colonia Moscardó (1,886) and Fuenlabrada (1,866).

50%25%25%
Colonia Moscardó winDrawFuenlabrada win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Colonia Moscardó

4-3-3
  1. 9Dani Segovia
  2. SSamu Guillén
  3. 19Dzhoshkun Temenuzhkov Mihaylov
  1. 10Crespo
  2. MM. Sennouni
  3. 22Julio Cidoncha
  1. 20M. Télis
  2. NNacho Recalde
  3. 3Borja Paris
  4. MMiguel García
  1. 13Guille Pérez

Fuenlabrada

Not enough data to predict the Fuenlabrada lineup.

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:22 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colonia Moscardó have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Fuenlabrada have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Colonia Moscardó
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Leganés II(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 31, 2026Cala Pozuelo(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 25, 2026Rayo Vallecano II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 18, 2026Las Rozas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 10, 2026Real Aranjuez(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Fuenlabrada
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Cala Pozuelo(home)4-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 7, 2026Rayo Vallecano II(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 1, 2026Las Rozas(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 24, 2026Real Aranjuez(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 17, 2026Pozuelo Alarcón(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Colonia Moscardó win, 0 draws, 1 Fuenlabrada win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 7, 2026Colonia Moscardó 3-0 FuenlabradaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 30, 2025Fuenlabrada 3-0 Colonia MoscardóSegunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Colonia Moscardó score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fuenlabrada score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Colonia Moscardó1.50.958/154/15
Fuenlabrada1.31.357/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Colonia Moscardó sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (18 points from 10 matches) and Fuenlabrada sit 8th (16 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Colonia Moscardó10460201018
8Fuenlabrada11443161316

A question about Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada?
The Footlab AI model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Fuenlabrada.
Where and when is Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada played?
Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Valero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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