Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Valero, Madrid
The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Fuenlabrada. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Colonia Moscardó (1,768) and Fuenlabrada (1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colonia Moscardó have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Fuenlabrada have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Navalcarnero(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Colonia Moscardó win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Fuenlabrada win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó 3-0 Fuenlabrada | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Fuenlabrada 3-0 Colonia Moscardó | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fuenlabrada score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colonia Moscardó | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Fuenlabrada | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada?
- The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Fuenlabrada.
- Where and when is Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada played?
- Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Valero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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