Match

Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Valero, Madrid

Colonia MoscardóFuenlabrada

The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Fuenlabrada. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Colonia Moscardó (1,768) and Fuenlabrada (1,790).

Colonia Moscardó win39 %
Draw26 %
Fuenlabrada win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colonia Moscardó have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Fuenlabrada have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Colonia Moscardó
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Intercity(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Navalcarnero(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 14, 2026Real Madrid III(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026Orihuela(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Getafe II(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Fuenlabrada
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Navalcarnero(away)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Socuéllamos(away)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026RSD Alcalá(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Quintanar del Rey(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Colonia Moscardó win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Fuenlabrada win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 7, 2026Colonia Moscardó 3-0 FuenlabradaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 30, 2025Fuenlabrada 3-0 Colonia MoscardóSegunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fuenlabrada score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Colonia Moscardó1.11.355/158/15
Fuenlabrada0.81.537/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada?
The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Fuenlabrada.
Where and when is Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada played?
Colonia Moscardó vs Fuenlabrada is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Valero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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