Where and when is Móstoles vs Alcobendas Sport played?

Móstoles vs Alcobendas Sport is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Móstoles vs Alcobendas Sport: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Soto, Móstoles

Móstoles

Alcobendas Sport

The Footlab model makes Móstoles the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Alcobendas Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Móstoles vs Alcobendas Sport?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Móstoles (1,758) and Alcobendas Sport (1,718).

Móstoles win41 %

Draw25 %

Alcobendas Sport win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Móstoles have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Alcobendas Sport have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Móstoles
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	A Madrid III(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Villanueva Pardillo(home)	3-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Pozuelo Alarcón(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Trival Valderas(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Alcobendas Sport
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Leganés II(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Trival Valderas(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Torrejón(away)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 18, 2026	AD Parla(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026	Alcorcón II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Móstoles win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Alcobendas Sport win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Alcobendas Sport 1-0 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 2, 2025	Móstoles 2-1 Alcobendas Sport	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 3, 2024	Alcobendas Sport 1-3 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 15, 2023	Móstoles 1-1 Alcobendas Sport	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 6, 2023	Móstoles 2-4 Alcobendas Sport	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 11, 2022	Alcobendas Sport 2-4 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Alcobendas Sport vs Móstoles on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Móstoles score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Móstoles	1.1	1.5	0	10/15	4/15
Alcobendas Sport	1.2	1.4	3	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Móstoles sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (51 points from 34 matches) and Alcobendas Sport sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Móstoles	34	14	9	11	51	45	51
11	Alcobendas Sport	34	12	10	13	45	49	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Móstoles vs Alcobendas Sport?: The Footlab model makes Móstoles the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Alcobendas Sport.
Where and when is Móstoles vs Alcobendas Sport played?: Móstoles vs Alcobendas Sport is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.